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Prediction Markets Price Platner’s Maine Senate Exit as All but Certain by Late July

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Abstract
Prediction-market traders now see the withdrawal of Maine Democratic Senate nominee Graham Platner as close to inevitable within weeks, after a new allegation triggered a collapse in Democratic support. Contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi rapidly repriced his exit, the seat’s partisan odds, and even his likely replacement – each in a matter of hours. How […]
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